Track record · closed signal

Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH) — closed signal from April 6, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 5, 2026 — -5.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CELH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$34.00 – $36.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$35.13Published — price the day we called it

$38.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$37.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$33.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 65% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-5.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+6.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+13.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$33.16

last close inside the window, ended July 5, 2026

Peak price

$37.40

peak on April 8, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published April 6, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$38.64

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$34.00 – $36.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$35.13

published April 6, 2026

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock may bounce in the next few months because prices fell a lot and now look washed out, and some valuation work suggests it could be cheap if worries about integrating acquisitions ease. But news still focuses on disruption from deals and whether the drop signals chance or further decline. Price needs firmer support before this is less speculative.

Primary drivers

Big price decline creates potential for a rebound if stability returns
Recent valuation checks suggest the stock may be cheaper than feared
The brand can still grow if acquisition integration goes smoothly
Deal-related disruption keeps the outlook risky and uncertain

How it played out

CELH: early rebound fell short of the target

Lyra published a short-term rebound thesis at $35.13, with 10% expected growth and a $38.64 target. The thesis pointed to the earlier price decline, valuation checks that suggested the stock might be cheaper than feared, and possible brand growth if acquisition integration went smoothly. It also identified deal-related disruption as a risk.

CELH peaked at $37.40 on April 8, a 6.5% gain, but never reached the $38.64 target. It ended the window at $33.16 on July 5. The expected rebound appeared briefly, then faded. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On May 7, 2026, Celsius Holdings reported first-quarter revenue of $782.6 million and net income of $110.1 million.

Celsius Holdings Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All CELH signals