Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology Inc (MU) — closed signal from April 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 5, 2026 — +156.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$380.37 Published $448.83 Target $975.41 Window close $1,254.81 Peak
$372.00 – $384.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$380.37Published — price the day we called it
$448.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,254.81Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$975.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

At window close
+156.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+229.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+13.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$975.41
last close inside the window, ended July 5, 2026
Peak price
$1,254.81
peak on June 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
8

The thesis — published April 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$448.83
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$372.00 – $384.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$380.37
published April 6, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AI demand for memory is still helping Micron, but the stock cooled after a big run and recent news showed both analyst support and a pullback from worries about rivals. That pullback makes the setup more balanced: upside exists, but price action needs clearer strength before stronger conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Demand from AI data centers keeps memory sales strong
  • Analysts reaffirmed the story after the stock pulled back
  • A reset in price can improve potential reward versus risk
  • Operational momentum remains solid despite industry swings

How it played out

MU: target reached in 8 days and later exceeded

Lyra published MU at $380.37 with an expected gain of 18% and a target of $448.83. The thesis pointed to memory demand from artificial intelligence data centers, analyst support after the pullback, a more balanced entry after the price reset, and solid operational momentum.

MU reached the target in 8 days. It later peaked at $1,254.81 on June 25, a gain of 229.9% from the published price. The stock ended the window at $975.41, still above the target. The thesis played out and the measured result exceeded its stated expectation.

What happened during the window

On June 10, 2026, Micron selected Bechtel for the first phase of its New York memory manufacturing project. On June 24, 2026, Micron reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $41.46 billion and net income of $28.24 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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