Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 4, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$177.39 Published $202.22 Target $194.83 Window close $236.54 Peak
$172.00 – $178.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$177.39Published — price the day we called it
$202.22Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$194.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$194.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
16
Window
April 5, 2026 – July 4, 2026

The thesis — published April 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$202.22
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$172.00 – $178.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$177.39
published April 5, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AI-related demand for computing gear is widening across chip makers and cloud companies, keeping NVIDIA in a strong operating position even after a big run. Foxconn noting AI-driven revenue growth supports the idea that downstream demand is real. Shares sit near short-term support, but heavy crowding and a high price make near-term gains less certain.

Primary drivers

  • Wider demand for AI computing across suppliers and cloud providers
  • Foxconn saying AI is boosting its revenue supports downstream demand
  • Leading platform position helps steady future profits
  • Stock is holding near support even though many investors own it

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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