Track record · closed signal

Raytheon Technologies Corp (RTX) — closed signal from April 5, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 4, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RTX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$196.21 Published $215.83 Target $199.25 Window close $205.36 Peak
$191.00 – $197.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$196.21Published — price the day we called it
$215.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$205.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$199.25Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 47% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$205.36
peak on April 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$199.25
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 5, 2026 – July 4, 2026

The thesis — published April 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$215.83
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$191.00 – $197.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$196.21
published April 5, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Raytheon is being positioned as a steadier industrial holding for the next 0-3 months because government defense spending and recent contracts are supporting demand. The F135 engine award improves visibility into expected work, and the stock is trading near a price floor after a calm period. Momentum is not fully confirmed, so this is viewed as a stability-focused idea rather than a leading rapid-growth pick.

Primary drivers

  • Ongoing defense budgets and steady contract deliveries support future work
  • F135 contract adds clearer near-term program revenue
  • Lower volatility helps the stock weather uneven market days
  • Price is holding close to a recent floor after consolidation

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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