Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$177.39 Published $204.00 Target $194.83 Window close $236.54 Peak
$173.00 – $179.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$177.39Published — price the day we called it
$204.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$194.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$194.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
21
Window
April 3, 2026 – July 2, 2026

The thesis — published April 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$204.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$173.00 – $179.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$177.39
published April 3, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Nvidia is a top-quality company leading AI hardware and software, and its strong cash position makes it durable. Recent headlines are mostly about the whole chip sector, not new company-specific wins, so confidence is lower than it would be with a clear Nvidia-specific driver. Price is close to short-term trend support, so the setup can continue higher but the path is more cautious than when sentiment is accelerating.

Primary drivers

  • Leadership in AI hardware and software keeps demand steady
  • Very strong cash and balance sheet support long-term durability
  • Industry headlines keep focus on chips, boosting interest
  • Shares sit near short-term trend support rather than breaking down

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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See today’s picks All NVDA signals