Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from April 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$935.58 Published $1,066.56 Target $1,213.91 Window close $1,238.00 Peak
$920.00 – $950.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$935.58Published — price the day we called it
$1,066.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,238.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,213.91Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 49 days.

Peak price
$1,238.00
peak on June 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,213.91
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
49
Window
April 3, 2026 – July 2, 2026

The thesis — published April 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,066.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$920.00 – $950.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$935.58
published April 3, 2026
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Lilly looks well positioned for the next few months because its weight-loss and diabetes businesses keep driving sales while the stock has eased to a calmer level. The company added new assets through an acquisition, but competitor headlines could raise expectations. Overall, the price is near the recent average, so the setup appears constructive rather than frothy.

Primary drivers

  • Obesity and diabetes products keep steady customer demand
  • Acquisition adds new drug candidates and strengthens the pipeline
  • Competitor headlines add pressure but do not derail growth potential
  • Stock price is near the recent average price, showing stability

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.