Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) — closed signal from April 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 1, 2026 — +52.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$77.23 Published $84.95 Target $117.46 Window close $130.37 Peak
$75.00 – $77.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$77.23Published — price the day we called it
$84.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$130.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$117.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close
+52.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+68.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$117.46
last close inside the window, ended July 1, 2026
Peak price
$130.37
peak on June 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
15

The thesis — published April 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$84.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$75.00 – $77.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$77.23
published April 2, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Cisco looks like a recovery candidate: shares pulled back toward a support area while an upcoming June 1 AI keynote keeps the product story in play. The company's core business appears steady for a large infrastructure firm, but the price action needs clearer follow-through before a lasting uptrend is likely. Upside depends on stabilization turning into continued buying.

Primary drivers

  • June 1 AI keynote could renew interest in products
  • Large-cap networking business is more stable than higher-risk AI names
  • Recent dip moved shares back to a key support area
  • A clearer rebound requires further confirmation in the price action

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 15 days

Lyra published CSCO as a recovery thesis with 10% expected growth. The thesis pointed to support near the entry zone, a June 1 artificial intelligence keynote, stability in the large-cap networking business, and the need for clearer buying and price confirmation.

The price reached the 84.95 target in 15 days. It later peaked at 130.37 on June 4, a 68.8% gain. CSCO ended the window at 117.46, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On May 13, Cisco reported quarterly revenue of $15.8 billion, up 12% year over year. On June 2, Cisco unveiled Cloud Control, a unified platform for managing and defending technology infrastructure.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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