Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$33.96 Published $35.47 Target $34.70 Window close $43.10 Peak
$31.22 – $33.06Entry zone — fair-value band
$33.96Published — price the day we called it
$35.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$34.70Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$34.70
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
34
Window
April 2, 2026 – July 1, 2026

The thesis — published April 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$35.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.22 – $33.06
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$33.96
published April 2, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline can benefit in the short term when shipping through the Red Sea and Hormuz is disrupted, since that keeps payment for voyages higher. The company is also generating strong cash when rates are up, but those gains depend a lot on political events and on the company running things smoothly. We see it as tradeable on price drops, not a top long-term pick.

Primary drivers

  • Disruptions near key sea routes can keep shipping fees higher
  • Strong cash flow when the shipping cycle is healthy
  • Price drops give a clearer buying opportunity after a run-up
  • High sensitivity to headlines makes the case less stable

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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