Track record · closed signal

Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) — closed signal from April 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PRIM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$145.82 Published $158.94 Target $97.24 Window close $205.50 Peak
$142.00 – $147.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$145.82Published — price the day we called it
$158.94Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$205.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$97.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 7 days.

Peak price
$205.50
peak on May 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+40.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$97.24
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
7
Window
April 1, 2026 – June 30, 2026

The thesis — published April 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$158.94
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$142.00 – $147.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$145.82
published April 1, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Company results have been better than the headline profit margin implies, and a recent acquisition gives a clear near-term reason the stock could move. The PayneCrest deal adds electrical and data-center work, while management's note that renewable-related sales could be flat this year argues caution. The setup looks constructive if shares stay near their trend after the deal.

Primary drivers

  • PayneCrest adds electrical and data-center work
  • Consistent strong execution in recent reports
  • Power and infrastructure work strengthens backlog quality
  • Post-deal reset clarifies near-term outlook

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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