Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$175.74 Published $202.10 Target $194.97 Window close $236.54 Peak
$172.00 – $178.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$175.74Published — price the day we called it
$202.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$194.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$194.97
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
April 1, 2026 – June 30, 2026

The thesis — published April 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$202.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$172.00 – $178.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$175.74
published April 1, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is in a strong position because business activity is very strong, the company has plenty of cash, and its stock has steadied after a volatile period. Big funding news for OpenAI adds likely demand for NVIDIA's compute products. The chart is not fully healed, so the idea is to watch a disciplined trading range rather than assume an immediate strong upward move.

Primary drivers

  • Demand for AI servers and chips drives most revenue
  • Large OpenAI funding likely increases infrastructure spending
  • A strong cash position helps the company execute plans
  • High trading volumes indicate big investors are active

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals