Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from March 31, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 29, 2026 — -18.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$20.00 – $21.20Entry zone — fair-value band

$20.72Published — price the day we called it

$23.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$24.51Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$16.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 42 days.

At window close

-18.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+18.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+14.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$16.81

last close inside the window, ended June 29, 2026

Peak price

$24.51

peak on May 12, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 31, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$23.83

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$20.00 – $21.20

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$20.72

published March 31, 2026

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent news linked the stock to a sharp rise in silver prices, giving the miner a clear market boost. The recent pullback makes the current position more attractive, but the stock moves with investor sentiment and can swing widely. If metal prices keep rising, the company's profits could grow faster than the market.

Primary drivers

Higher silver prices give a clear market tailwind for the miner
Profit swings can be larger when metal prices strengthen
Increased coverage kept investor attention after the price surge
Recent pullback improved the near-term price setup

How it played out

AG: target reached in 42 days

On March 31, Lyra published AG at $20.72 with an expected gain of 15%. The thesis pointed to higher silver prices, larger profit swings when metals strengthened, increased coverage, and a recent pullback that improved the near-term setup.

AG reached the $23.83 target in 42 days. It peaked at $24.51 on May 12, a gain of 18.3% within the window. By June 29, it had fallen to $16.81. The published price objective played out, but the gain did not hold through the end of the window.

What happened during the window

On April 9, First Majestic reported first-quarter production of 3.5 million ounces of silver and 34,341 ounces of gold. On May 12, the company reported first-quarter net earnings of $128.1 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.0171 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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