Track record · closed signal

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) — closed signal from March 31, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$199.00 Published $234.81 Target $539.49 Window close $562.99 Peak
$194.00 – $202.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$199.00Published — price the day we called it
$234.81Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$562.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$539.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

Peak price
$562.99
peak on June 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+182.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$539.49
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
9
Window
March 31, 2026 – June 29, 2026

The thesis — published March 31, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$234.81
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$194.00 – $202.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$199.00
published March 31, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AMD looks like a short-term trade because it benefits from ongoing AI and data-center buying and strong analyst attention ahead of earnings. The stock is still volatile, but the recent pullback eased crowded positioning. If chip sector sentiment improves modestly, the shares could move up quickly.

Primary drivers

  • AI and data-center demand drive long-term sales growth
  • Consistent earnings help justify the growth story
  • Analyst and media focus keeps investor attention high
  • Recent pullback lowered crowded positioning in the stock

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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