Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from March 31, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 29, 2026 — +21.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.69 Published $54.08 Target $57.88 Window close $59.20 Peak
$46.02 – $48.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.69Published — price the day we called it
$54.08Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$59.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$57.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close
+21.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+24.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$57.88
last close inside the window, ended June 29, 2026
Peak price
$59.20
peak on June 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
15

The thesis — published March 31, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$54.08
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.02 – $48.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.69
published March 31, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks relatively stable over the next few months because recent coverage named it a favored large bank and the company keeps delivering consistent results rather than relying on a fragile macro recovery. Shares are trading in a steady range instead of falling apart, and reasonable valuation gives room to recover if credit and rate headlines calm down.

Primary drivers

  • Big bank with more predictable profits than smaller lenders
  • Recent analyst preference supports investor interest
  • Stock trading in a steady range suggests support is holding
  • Reasonable valuation helps if credit and rate worries ease

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 15 days

Lyra published a 14% growth thesis from $47.69, with a $54.08 target. The thesis pointed to predictable profits, recent analyst preference, support from a steady trading range, and a reasonable valuation if credit and rate concerns eased.

BAC reached the target in 15 days. It later peaked at $59.20 on June 25, a 24.1% gain, then ended the window at $57.88 on June 29. The peak and closing price both cleared the target. The published thesis played out and exceeded its expected growth.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported its first-quarter 2026 financial results and held an investor conference call.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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