Track record · closed signal

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — closed signal from March 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$74.29 Published $79.39 Target $77.03 Window close $79.45 Peak
$71.47 – $74.41Entry zone — fair-value band
$74.29Published — price the day we called it
$79.39Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$79.45
peak on April 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.03
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
March 30, 2026 – June 28, 2026

The thesis — published March 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$79.39
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$71.47 – $74.41
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$74.29
published March 30, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Agree Realty is a safer, income-focused REIT that looks more likely to claw back losses than surge quickly. New valuation reports and interest from big investors imply the downside is clearer, and renting properties to national tenants gives steadier cash. Still, sensitivity to interest rates and the stock being oversold point to a gradual recovery rather than a fast jump.

Primary drivers

  • Long-term leases give steadier rental cash and limit big drops
  • Valuation checks suggest shares may be nearer a fair floor than a peak
  • Interest from big investors and insider purchases add credibility
  • Current oversold condition can recover if interest rates stay stable

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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