Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from March 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 28, 2026 — +10.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$32.24 Published $34.91 Target $35.52 Window close $43.10 Peak
$29.84 – $31.68Entry zone — fair-value band
$32.24Published — price the day we called it
$34.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$35.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

At window close
+10.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+33.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+15.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$35.52
last close inside the window, ended June 28, 2026
Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
18

The thesis — published March 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$34.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$29.84 – $31.68
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$32.24
published March 30, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a lower-conviction pick because recent events near the Strait of Hormuz have pushed tanker fees higher. That can quickly boost earnings if tight shipping conditions persist, but the setup is driven by a short-term event so gains can come fast and reverse quickly. The stock could move sharply both ways.

Primary drivers

  • Strait of Hormuz issues are tightening tanker markets and raising fees
  • Tanker fees feed directly into company earnings in the near term
  • Valuation commentary indicates some upside potential above current levels
  • Exposure to event-driven shipping can outperform when logistics are constrained

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 18 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for FRO at $32.24, with expected growth of 13% and a $34.91 target. The thesis pointed to Strait of Hormuz issues, tighter tanker markets, higher fees, near-term earnings exposure and event-driven shipping. It also warned that gains could reverse quickly.

FRO reached the target in 18 days. It later peaked at $43.10 on June 24, a gain of 33.7%. The stock ended the window at $35.52, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On May 22, 2026, Frontline reported first-quarter profit of $559.1 million, or $2.51 per share, and declared a cash dividend of $1.55 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All FRO signals