Track record · closed signal

Mastercard Inc (MA) — closed signal from March 30, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$490.77 Published $549.66 Target $499.02 Window close $534.21 Peak
$485.00 – $500.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$490.77Published — price the day we called it
$549.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$534.21Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$499.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 74% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$534.21
peak on April 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$499.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
March 30, 2026 – June 28, 2026

The thesis — published March 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$549.66
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$485.00 – $500.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$490.77
published March 30, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Mastercard's core payments network is strong, profits are high, and recent results stayed steady even though the stock pulled back. New card programs tied to stablecoins suggest the network adapts to new payment methods rather than being bypassed. The recent price dip after a strong run looks constructive but still carries some risk.

Primary drivers

  • Card use and cross-border spending remain strong over time
  • New stablecoin card deals keep the network relevant
  • High profit margins and steady execution help limit downside
  • Price pullback creates space to recover without crowded interest

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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