Track record · closed signal

Walt Disney Company (DIS) — closed signal from March 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

DIS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$94.15 Published $106.39 Target $98.79 Window close $110.48 Peak
$92.00 – $96.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$94.15Published — price the day we called it
$106.39Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$110.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$98.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

Peak price
$110.48
peak on May 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$98.79
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
21
Window
March 30, 2026 – June 28, 2026

The thesis — published March 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$106.39
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$92.00 – $96.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$94.15
published March 30, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Disney's business is showing clear operational improvement, most notably from its streaming service where profit has risen sharply. That progress makes margin recovery look more lasting rather than a one-time event. Shares have been pushed lower recently and trend strength is still weak, so the near-term thesis is a rebound attempt rather than a decisive uptrend.

Primary drivers

  • Streaming is making more profit and helping overall margins
  • Recent results were better than how the stock reacted
  • Shares are cheap from recent weakness, offering rebound potential
  • Strong brands and parks provide multiple ways the turnaround can stick

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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