Track record · closed signal

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) — closed signal from March 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HMY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$14.34 Published $16.06 Target $15.53 Window close $19.32 Peak
$13.80 – $14.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$14.34Published — price the day we called it
$16.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$15.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 3 days.

Peak price
$19.32
peak on April 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$15.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
3
Window
March 29, 2026 – June 27, 2026

The thesis — published March 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$16.06
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$13.80 – $14.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$14.34
published March 29, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Harmony Gold showed stronger sales, profit and cash in recent interim results, and it boosted its dividend framework. Because the company sells gold, it can do better if markets stay stressed. A recent price pullback looks like a reset after a run, but higher costs and volatile price action mean this is a smaller, lower-confidence opportunity for the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Interim results showed higher profit and stronger cash generation
  • Gold exposure can support the stock if market stress stays high
  • A bigger dividend plan and moves into copper add support
  • The recent pullback looks like a reset after a strong upward move

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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