Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from March 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$21.17 Published $23.21 Target $25.88 Window close $26.11 Peak
$20.30 – $21.28Entry zone — fair-value band
$21.17Published — price the day we called it
$23.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$26.11Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 11 days.

Peak price
$26.11
peak on June 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.88
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
11
Window
March 29, 2026 – June 27, 2026

The thesis — published March 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$23.21
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$20.30 – $21.28
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$21.17
published March 29, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National looks cleaner than many regional banks in the short term. Steady execution, a fair price compared with peers, improving trends in interest income, and involvement in a tokenized deposit project give the company a constructive story. Concerns about exposure to private credit keep the idea in a cautious, watchful category for 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Steady earnings make the outlook more reliable
  • Reasonable valuation reduces potential downside
  • Rising net interest income supports revenue growth
  • Tokenized deposits add a strategic growth angle

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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