Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — closed signal from March 29, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 27, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
UNP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$233.57 – $239.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$237.56Published — price the day we called it
$264.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$278.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$267.73Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 25 days.
Peak price
$278.25
peak on May 27, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+17.1%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$267.73
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
25
Window
March 29, 2026 – June 27, 2026
The thesis — published March 29, 2026
Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$264.69
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$233.57 – $239.50
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$237.56
published March 29, 2026Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Union Pacific is a high-quality railroad that looks like a cautious short-term opportunity. Upgrades and higher profit forecasts suggest volumes and margins are holding up. The share price has fallen enough to look more attractive but still needs time to confirm recovery, so it remains a watch-list candidate.
Primary drivers
- Analyst upgrades reflect expectations for steadier freight volumes and margins
- Strong rail network underpins consistent cash generation over time
- Recent modest price drop makes the entry setup more favorable
- Industrial exposure combined with disciplined operations helps cushion downside
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.