Track record · closed signal

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — closed signal from March 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UNP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$237.56 Published $264.69 Target $267.73 Window close $278.25 Peak
$233.57 – $239.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$237.56Published — price the day we called it
$264.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$278.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$267.73Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$278.25
peak on May 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$267.73
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
March 29, 2026 – June 27, 2026

The thesis — published March 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$264.69
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$233.57 – $239.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$237.56
published March 29, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Union Pacific is a high-quality railroad that looks like a cautious short-term opportunity. Upgrades and higher profit forecasts suggest volumes and margins are holding up. The share price has fallen enough to look more attractive but still needs time to confirm recovery, so it remains a watch-list candidate.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst upgrades reflect expectations for steadier freight volumes and margins
  • Strong rail network underpins consistent cash generation over time
  • Recent modest price drop makes the entry setup more favorable
  • Industrial exposure combined with disciplined operations helps cushion downside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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