Track record · closed signal

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) — closed signal from March 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HMY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$14.34 Published $16.78 Target $15.53 Window close $19.32 Peak
$13.80 – $14.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$14.34Published — price the day we called it
$16.78Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$15.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 11 days.

Peak price
$19.32
peak on April 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$15.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
11
Window
March 28, 2026 – June 26, 2026

The thesis — published March 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$16.78
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$13.80 – $14.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$14.34
published March 28, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Harmony reported stronger sales, profit, and cash flow, showing the business is doing more than just riding the gold price. The stock is trading below its recent path, so a quick recovery in the next few months is possible if gold holds up and operating costs do not worsen.

Primary drivers

  • Interim results show stronger sales, profit, and cash flow
  • Holding gold exposure helps in risk-off market moves
  • Balance-sheet stress looks limited despite higher operating costs
  • Shares trade below recent trend, so valuation is discounted

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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