Track record · closed signal

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — closed signal from March 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UNP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$237.56 Published $262.32 Target $267.73 Window close $278.25 Peak
$231.59 – $238.52Entry zone — fair-value band
$237.56Published — price the day we called it
$262.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$278.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$267.73Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$278.25
peak on May 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$267.73
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
March 28, 2026 – June 26, 2026

The thesis — published March 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$262.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$231.59 – $238.52
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$237.56
published March 28, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Union Pacific looks more stable than many cyclical companies: margins have held up, earnings have been reliable, and a scheduled April 23 report gives a near-term event that could move the stock. Recent industry notes suggest slightly stronger short-term profit expectations. The share price is correcting modestly near support, so there is a chance for a 0-3 month move if management tone is constructive.

Primary drivers

  • April 23 earnings create a clear near-term event
  • Strong railroad franchise helps keep pricing and operations steady
  • Analyst notes suggest firmer short-term profit expectations
  • Shares are stabilizing near support rather than falling further

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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