Track record · closed signal

AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) — closed signal from March 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AZN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$188.42 Published $207.26 Target $188.41 Window close $207.30 Peak
$184.00 – $189.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$188.42Published — price the day we called it
$207.26Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$207.30Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$188.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

Peak price
$207.30
peak on April 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$188.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
13
Window
March 28, 2026 – June 26, 2026

The thesis — published March 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$207.26
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$184.00 – $189.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$188.42
published March 28, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AstraZeneca is seen as a lower-volatility healthcare name with a clear clinical news boost: the Phase III COPD readout for tozorakimab gives the drug pipeline a tangible, near-term reason to matter. The price action is only mildly soft, not broken. Valuation is on the richer side and price momentum is limited, but solid earnings and a defensive business mix make the 0-3 month outlook constructive.

Primary drivers

  • Phase III COPD readout makes the drug pipeline more credible
  • Healthcare focus helps the shares hold up in choppy markets
  • Earnings strength bolsters sentiment despite a richer price
  • A mild dip leaves room for follow-through without being overextended

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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