Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from March 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 25, 2026 — +7.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$73.05 – $75.03Entry zone — fair-value band

$74.66Published — price the day we called it

$79.37Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$83.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$80.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 47 days.

At window close

+7.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+11.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+16.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$80.42

last close inside the window, ended June 25, 2026

Peak price

$83.50

peak on June 11, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 27, 2026

Predicted growth

+7%

over the measurement window

Target price

$79.37

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$73.05 – $75.03

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$74.66

published March 27, 2026

Confidence

62%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola looks like a steady, defensive business. The CEO change and its long-standing dividend make the story more about maintaining stability than pushing faster growth. The stock hasn't dropped enough to create a clear rebound setup, so the next 0-3 months are likely to show steady relative performance rather than a big re-rating, limiting conviction despite its quality.

Primary drivers

Large global drink brands provide defensive sales stability
Strong cash flow helps the company withstand downturns
A reliable dividend tends to limit downside losses
Management change increases short-term uncertainty about growth

How it played out

KO: target reached in 47 days

Lyra published KO at 74.66 as a short-term defensive thesis with 7% expected growth. The thesis pointed to global drink brands, strong cash flow, and a reliable dividend as sources of stability, while management change added uncertainty. It expected steady performance rather than a large re-rating.

The stock reached the 79.37 target in 47 days. It later peaked at 83.50 on June 11, an 11.8% gain from publication. It ended the window at 80.42, still above the target and the 74.66 publication price. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On April 28, Coca-Cola reported first-quarter 2026 net revenue growth of 12% and organic revenue growth of 10%. On June 25, it announced that Jennifer Mann would leave her North America leadership role, with John Murphy taking interim responsibility on August 1.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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