Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from March 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$897.99 Published $1,041.67 Target $1,127.69 Window close $1,182.73 Peak
$880.00 – $910.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$897.99Published — price the day we called it
$1,041.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,182.73Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,127.69Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 55 days.

Peak price
$1,182.73
peak on June 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,127.69
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
55
Window
March 27, 2026 – June 25, 2026

The thesis — published March 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,041.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$880.00 – $910.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$897.99
published March 27, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Lilly is a big drug company with steady sales and strong recent performance. A recent price dip makes it more attractive because its main businesses-diabetes, obesity, and immunology-are performing well and new EBGLYSS durability data expands confidence beyond just obesity. Health stocks often hold up when markets wobble, and Lilly still shows reliable earnings strength.

Primary drivers

  • Clear leadership in diabetes and obesity treatments
  • Reliable earnings and operational execution
  • New EBGLYSS data extends clinical momentum
  • Healthcare stocks often hold up in volatile markets

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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