Track record · closed signal

AT&T Inc (T) — closed signal from March 26, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 24, 2026 — -22.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

T price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$29.03 Published $31.35 Target $22.37 Window close $29.37 Peak
$28.50 – $29.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$29.03Published — price the day we called it
$31.35Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$29.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.37Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 15% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-22.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+1.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$22.37
last close inside the window, ended June 24, 2026
Peak price
$29.37
peak on March 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published March 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$31.35
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.50 – $29.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$29.03
published March 26, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AT&T is on a short-term, lower-risk list because it generates steady cash, recent analyst target increases give a supportive story, and it behaves like a defensive stock rather than a high-growth name. News pushed the stock higher already, so a small pullback is preferred instead of chasing the current rise.

Primary drivers

  • New analyst price-target increases help the short-term story
  • Steady cash generation makes the company more defensive
  • Customer convergence trends point to steadier execution
  • Cleaner opportunity exists if shares retrace after the recent rise

How it played out

T: the 8% thesis missed its target

Lyra published T at $29.03 with an expected 8% gain. The thesis pointed to analyst price-target increases, steady cash generation, customer convergence, and a cleaner entry after a pullback. It treated the shares as defensive and lower-risk rather than a high-growth name.

During the window, T peaked at $29.37 on March 27, a 1.2% gain. The $31.35 target was never reached. The stock ended the window at $22.37, below both the publication price and target. The expected 8% rise did not play out. It was a miss.

What happened during the window

On April 22, AT&T reported its first-quarter results and reiterated its full-year guidance. On May 14, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon announced an agreement in principle to form a joint venture focused on satellite-based mobile coverage.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.