Track record · closed signal

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) — closed signal from March 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HMY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$14.61 Published $16.36 Target $15.41 Window close $19.32 Peak
$14.00 – $14.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$14.61Published — price the day we called it
$16.36Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$15.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 7 days.

Peak price
$19.32
peak on April 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$15.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
7
Window
March 25, 2026 – June 23, 2026

The thesis — published March 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$16.36
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.00 – $14.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$14.61
published March 25, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Harmony Gold looks like a defensive play because gold usually holds value when markets are stressed or geopolitics are tense. The company reported healthy cash and doubled its dividend, which sets it apart from weaker miners. The stock fell a lot and its price pattern is not fixed yet, but cash strength and defensive exposure make a rebound plausible.

Primary drivers

  • Gold exposure offers protection during market stress
  • Company shows strong cash position after results
  • Higher dividend reflects confidence in cash generation
  • Big recent sell-off creates room for a recovery

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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