Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from March 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$911.61 Published $1,021.01 Target $1,107.08 Window close $1,182.73 Peak
$895.00 – $920.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$911.61Published — price the day we called it
$1,021.01Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,182.73Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,107.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 49 days.

Peak price
$1,182.73
peak on June 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,107.08
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
49
Window
March 25, 2026 – June 23, 2026

The thesis — published March 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,021.01
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$895.00 – $920.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$911.61
published March 25, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Lilly's core business is strong and recent news about Zepbound access at Kroger plus rising LillyDirect spending support demand for obesity treatments. The stock fell sharply and buying momentum hasn't fully stabilized, so a rebound is plausible in the next 0-3 months but timing is less certain than for steadier large-cap names.

Primary drivers

  • Obesity drug sales remain strong and support continued demand
  • Kroger access and LillyDirect expand where patients can obtain treatment
  • Reliable earnings help limit downside during market stress
  • Recent oversold move creates potential for a rebound if buying returns

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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