Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) — closed signal from March 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 23, 2026 — +18.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$292.31 Published $330.31 Target $346.08 Window close $404.44 Peak
$286.00 – $295.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$292.31Published — price the day we called it
$330.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$404.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$346.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

At window close
+18.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+38.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+12%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$346.08
last close inside the window, ended June 23, 2026
Peak price
$404.44
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
20

The thesis — published March 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$330.31
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$286.00 – $295.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$292.31
published March 25, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet remains attractive after a sharp pullback because its main businesses-search ads, YouTube, and cloud services-still generate steady revenue and cash. New Google Cloud security work points to continued enterprise demand. Shares are in a recent selloff and sentiment is cooler, but a strong balance sheet and recurring cash help limit downside.

Primary drivers

  • Search and YouTube give steady ad revenue and reach
  • Google Cloud partnership boosts enterprise AI demand
  • Big cash reserves and low debt help absorb market swings
  • Recent oversold move makes the risk-reward more attractive

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published GOOG at 292.31 with an expected gain of 13% and a target of 330.31. The thesis pointed to steady revenue from Search and YouTube, enterprise demand for Google Cloud security work, cash reserves and low debt, and an oversold move after a recent selloff. It expected those factors to support a recovery.

GOOG reached the target in 20 days. It later rose to 404.44 on May 18, a peak gain of 38.4%. The shares ended the window at 346.08, still above the published target. The thesis played out, and the measured result exceeded what Lyra had expected.

What happened during the window

On May 20, 2026, Google announced Gemini 3.5 Flash and updates across Search, Cloud, YouTube, and other products at Google I/O.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOG signals