Track record · closed signal

Northwest Bancshares Inc (NWBI) — closed signal from March 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NWBI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.41 Published $13.40 Target $14.59 Window close $14.93 Peak
$12.00 – $12.55Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.41Published — price the day we called it
$13.40Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.59Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

Peak price
$14.93
peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.59
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
15
Window
March 24, 2026 – June 22, 2026

The thesis — published March 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.40
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.00 – $12.55
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.41
published March 24, 2026
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Northwest Bancshares is a small, cautious regional bank with some positives: insiders buying shares and a valuation that looks reasonable. Those points help limit downside, but the whole regional-bank group is still fragile and the stock has no clear near-term driver beyond simply moving back to normal. It is a lower-priority idea until sector pressure eases.

Primary drivers

  • Insider buying makes managers' interests align with shareholders
  • Reasonable valuation can reduce downside if sector sentiment steadies
  • Recent price action is not extended and looks measured
  • Smaller-bank status makes the stock sensitive to sector headlines

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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