Track record · closed signal

Columbia Banking System Inc (COLB) — closed signal from March 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

COLB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$26.53 Published $29.35 Target $30.87 Window close $31.84 Peak
$25.36 – $26.53Entry zone — fair-value band
$26.53Published — price the day we called it
$29.35Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$31.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.87Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 24 days.

Peak price
$31.84
peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$30.87
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
24
Window
March 24, 2026 – June 22, 2026

The thesis — published March 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$29.35
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$25.36 – $26.53
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$26.53
published March 24, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Company-specific updates point to a likely near-term recovery: management expects better profit margins, fee income should rise as they sell more services to existing customers, and the firm plans a large share buyback after the Pacific Premier deal. These positives help, but industry headlines about loan quality and private lending mean caution until clearer stability appears.

Primary drivers

  • Management expects improved profit margins after the Pacific Premier deal
  • Selling more services to existing customers should boost fee income
  • A large share repurchase plan creates a clear company-specific support
  • Shares sit near support following broader industry weakness

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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