Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from March 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 22, 2026 — +6.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$74.46 Published $79.90 Target $79.53 Window close $83.50 Peak
$72.56 – $74.53Entry zone — fair-value band
$74.46Published — price the day we called it
$79.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$83.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$79.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 50 days.

At window close
+6.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+12.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$79.53
last close inside the window, ended June 22, 2026
Peak price
$83.50
peak on June 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
50

The thesis — published March 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$79.90
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.56 – $74.53
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$74.46
published March 24, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is seen as a steadier, lower-volatility holding while markets stay uncertain. Recent items-more Fairlife production, another dividend increase, and positive analyst commentary-underline steady demand and a defensive profile. The stock looks constructive after a pullback, but upside is likely smaller than fast-growing tech names and depends on a calmer market.

Primary drivers

  • More Fairlife production helps the company sell more premium dairy drinks
  • Reliable dividends support the stock's defensive, income-oriented appeal
  • Positive analyst notes point to steady, resilient drink demand
  • The recent drop creates a better chance for a gradual rebound

How it played out

KO: target reached in 50 days

Lyra published KO at $74.46 with expected growth of 8%. The thesis pointed to more Fairlife production, reliable dividends, positive analyst notes on drink demand, and the recent drop as support for a gradual rebound. It also expected less upside than faster-growing technology stocks.

KO reached the $79.90 target in 50 days. It later peaked at $83.50 on June 11, a gain of 12.1%, then ended the window at $79.53. The price finished below the target, but it had already reached and exceeded it during the window. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 28, Coca-Cola reported first-quarter net revenue growth of 12% and updated its full-year guidance. On June 1, the company said it was exploring a 2027 public listing in India for the parent of its largest bottler there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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