Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from March 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 22, 2026 — +20.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.43 Published $52.85 Target $57.37 Window close $57.98 Peak
$46.02 – $47.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.43Published — price the day we called it
$52.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$57.98Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$57.37Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

At window close
+20.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+22.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$57.37
last close inside the window, ended June 22, 2026
Peak price
$57.98
peak on June 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
20

The thesis — published March 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$52.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.02 – $47.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.43
published March 24, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is a large, diversified bank whose stock is sitting near a stable price area instead of running higher. Its business mix and liquidity look steadier than many smaller banks. Recent news around the ticker isn't specific to the company, so confidence is solid but not top-tier. If overall financial stress eases, a balanced rebound seems likely.

Primary drivers

  • Diversified business mix gives more predictable earnings than many regional banks
  • Strong cash and funding help the stock resist declines in volatile markets
  • Share price is holding near a stable area rather than extending higher
  • Upside looks better if general financial stress continues to lessen

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published BAC at $47.43 and expected 12% growth. The thesis pointed to its diversified business mix, strong cash and funding, and a stable price area. It also expected more upside if general financial stress eased.

The shares reached the $52.85 target in 20 days. They later peaked at $57.98 on June 17, a gain of 22.2%. BAC ended the window at $57.37 on June 22, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported first-quarter net income of $8.6 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.11.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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