Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from March 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$177.22 Published $207.35 Target $210.69 Window close $236.54 Peak
$172.00 – $179.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$177.22Published — price the day we called it
$207.35Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$210.69Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 32 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$210.69
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
32
Window
March 23, 2026 – June 21, 2026

The thesis — published March 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$207.35
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$172.00 – $179.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$177.22
published March 23, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is very promising because demand for its AI products is strong and recent news about new large AI factories supports that trend. However, many investors already own the stock and recent big gains make its price swing widely. That makes it look like a short-term pullback opportunity rather than a clear restart of momentum over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger demand for AI hardware after factory-related news
  • Leading position in data center products sustains the thesis
  • Recent pullback makes short-term entry conditions clearer
  • High trading liquidity and market leadership draw investor interest

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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