Track record · closed signal

Apple Inc (AAPL) — closed signal from March 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AAPL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$253.02 Published $288.44 Target $298.01 Window close $317.40 Peak
$248.00 – $255.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$253.02Published — price the day we called it
$288.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$317.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 45 days.

Peak price
$317.40
peak on June 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.01
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
45
Window
March 23, 2026 – June 21, 2026

The thesis — published March 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$288.44
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$248.00 – $255.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$253.02
published March 23, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Apple is a steadier large technology stock. Recent surveys show more people in China plan to upgrade iPhones, which helps near-term sales. The stock recently fell back instead of running up quickly, so there is room for a recovery. Strong services and a big installed base help the company hold up if markets wobble, but momentum needs clearer signs to confirm a full 0-3 month turnaround.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger iPhone upgrade intent points to nearer-term sales
  • Large services business and device base steady product cycles
  • Pullback creates space for recovery without an overbought setup
  • Strong brand and cash flow help defend the stock in weak markets

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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