Track record · closed signal

Columbia Banking System Inc (COLB) — closed signal from March 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

COLB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$25.81 Published $29.32 Target $30.55 Window close $31.84 Peak
$24.67 – $25.84Entry zone — fair-value band
$25.81Published — price the day we called it
$29.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$31.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$31.84
peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$30.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
March 22, 2026 – June 20, 2026

The thesis — published March 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$29.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$24.67 – $25.84
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$25.81
published March 22, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Columbia looks like a regional bank that could recover because it has clear steps to boost shareholder returns and earnings. The company announced a buyback, says it has extra capital, and is refocusing on core lending. These items make the next quarter easier to forecast, but sentiment for regional banks can stay fragile, so confidence is moderate.

Primary drivers

  • Buyback and extra capital support shareholder returns
  • Refocus on core lending clarifies future earnings
  • Margin guidance gives a clearer near-term earnings path
  • Valuation is reasonable when stock is near support levels

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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