Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — closed signal from March 21, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 19, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
UNP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$226.64 – $233.57Entry zone — fair-value band
$233.71Published — price the day we called it
$258.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$278.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$256.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 33 days.
Peak price
$278.25
peak on May 27, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+19.1%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$256.88
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
33
Window
March 21, 2026 – June 19, 2026
The thesis — published March 21, 2026
Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$258.07
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$226.64 – $233.57
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$233.71
published March 21, 2026Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Union Pacific looks like a short-term rebound candidate because the shares have fallen a lot while the company itself remains a steady way to own industrial exposure. Strong profit margins and disciplined operations help keep results steady. A recent broker upgrade makes the recovery story more believable; we prefer this over riskier industrial stocks.
Primary drivers
- Rail network gives steady industrial exposure with pricing strength
- Broker upgrade adds credibility to a freight recovery story
- Strong operational control helps maintain profit margins
- Big pullback below the short-term trend creates bounce potential
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.