Track record · closed signal

Analog Devices Inc (ADI) — closed signal from March 20, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$310.77 Published $356.41 Target $434.46 Window close $439.70 Peak
$303.34 – $314.28Entry zone — fair-value band
$310.77Published — price the day we called it
$356.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$439.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$434.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$439.70
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+41.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$434.46
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
March 20, 2026 – June 18, 2026

The thesis — published March 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$356.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$303.34 – $314.28
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$310.77
published March 20, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Analog Devices looks like a candidate for a bounce after a recent pullback. A new Thailand factory makes supply and production stronger, which helps future growth. But the whole chip industry still feels fragile, so the stock's appeal comes more from company quality and the recent drop than from strong market momentum. If chip worries ease in the next 0-3 months, the stock could recover.

Primary drivers

  • New Thailand plant increases production capacity and supply resilience
  • Strong analog product mix should rebound when chip markets calm
  • Recent price pullback created a lower, more attractive reset point
  • Company earnings have been steadier than the share price implies

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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