Track record · closed signal

AT&T Inc (T) — closed signal from March 20, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 18, 2026 — -22.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

T price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$28.39 Published $30.66 Target $22.01 Window close $29.44 Peak
$27.80 – $28.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$28.39Published — price the day we called it
$30.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$29.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 46% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-22.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+3.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+15.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$22.01
last close inside the window, ended June 18, 2026
Peak price
$29.44
peak on March 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published March 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$30.66
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$27.80 – $28.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$28.39
published March 20, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AT&T is being treated as a steady, defensive stock for the next few months rather than a big-growth pick. The share price has stayed above its recent trend with strong buying. The company's new AI-based customer app points to practical cost savings and better customer retention. Growth upside looks modest, but steady cash flow and a conservative valuation make it a useful holding when few stocks lead the market.

Primary drivers

  • New AI customer app should lower costs and keep customers longer
  • Reliable telecom cash flows make the stock more defensive
  • Recent buying has kept the stock on a steady upward trend
  • Price is still conservative compared with many large companies

How it played out

T: the 8% target was not reached

Lyra published T at $28.39 with an expected gain of 8% and a $30.66 target. The thesis treated it as a steady, defensive stock. It pointed to reliable telecom cash flows, recent buying, a conservative valuation, and a customer app using artificial intelligence that was expected to lower costs and help retain customers.

The price peaked at $29.44 on March 24, a gain of 3.7%. It stayed below the target throughout the window and ended at $22.01 on June 18. The published thesis did not play out within the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On April 22, 2026, AT&T reported its first-quarter results and reiterated its full-year guidance and capital return plans.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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