Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from March 20, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 18, 2026 — +19.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$45.28 – $47.01Entry zone — fair-value band

$47.02Published — price the day we called it

$54.73Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$57.98Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$56.20Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

At window close

+19.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+23.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+15.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$56.20

last close inside the window, ended June 18, 2026

Peak price

$57.98

peak on June 17, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 20, 2026

Predicted growth

+17%

over the measurement window

Target price

$54.73

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$45.28 – $47.01

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$47.02

published March 20, 2026

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks positioned to bounce in the next 0-3 months because the recent drop reset short-term price action without changing the bank's core business strength. Shares sit below the recent trend, so there's room to recover if sentiment steadies. Ongoing work in digital payments and stablecoins adds optional growth paths, while the bank's size helps limit downside in weaker markets.

Primary drivers

Large deposit and lending base keeps earnings steadier in weaker markets
Recent pullback left room for a price recovery to the recent trend
Work on digital payments and stablecoins adds optional new revenue paths
High trading liquidity makes it easier to enter and exit positions in a choppy market

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 26 days

Lyra published BAC at $47.02 with a 17% short-term growth expectation and a $54.73 target. The thesis expected a rebound after the pullback. It pointed to the bank's deposit and lending base, room for a recovery toward the recent trend, work in digital payments and stablecoins, and high trading liquidity.

The target was reached in 26 days. BAC later peaked at $57.98 on June 17, a 23.3% gain, and ended the window at $56.20. Both the peak and closing price were above the target. The published thesis played out in full.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported its first-quarter financial results. On June 4, 2026, it announced plans to launch a cross-border real-time payments service through Swift and CashPro.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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