Track record · closed signal

Walt Disney Company (DIS) — closed signal from March 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

DIS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$100.41 Published $110.45 Target $100.86 Window close $110.48 Peak
$98.00 – $102.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$100.41Published — price the day we called it
$110.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$110.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$100.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 49 days.

Peak price
$110.48
peak on May 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$100.86
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
49
Window
March 19, 2026 – June 17, 2026

The thesis — published March 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$110.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$98.00 – $102.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$100.41
published March 19, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Disney could bounce in the short term because streaming profits are getting better and investors had low expectations. But there is a big leadership change and unclear plans for traditional TV, so this is a cautious trade idea rather than a safe long-term holding until the new leader shows a clear plan.

Primary drivers

  • Streaming is making more profit and helping results
  • Theme parks and content steady the company earnings
  • New CEO could change direction and strategy
  • Lower share price creates a short-term rebound chance

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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