Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from March 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 17, 2026 — +21.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$46.45 Published $51.76 Target $56.53 Window close $57.98 Peak
$45.03 – $46.71Entry zone — fair-value band
$46.45Published — price the day we called it
$51.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$57.98Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$56.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

At window close
+21.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+24.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+12.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$56.53
last close inside the window, ended June 17, 2026
Peak price
$57.98
peak on June 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
21

The thesis — published March 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$51.76
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$45.03 – $46.71
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$46.45
published March 19, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is being watched as a liquid rebound idea, not a clear buy signal. The Fed holding rates steady makes deposits, loan profit margins, and fee businesses important for any recovery. This setting could let the stock bounce, but be patient: recent big-volume selling means the price is still repairing and not yet proving a new sustained rise.

Primary drivers

  • Large bank with many businesses, so problems in one area can be offset
  • A steady interest-rate picture helps loans and fees recover
  • Easily traded shares make it suitable when markets swing
  • Reliable profits make sudden big losses less likely

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 21 days

Lyra published BAC as a short-term rebound idea at $46.45, with expected growth of 12% and a target of $51.76. The thesis pointed to its mix of businesses, a steady interest-rate picture, liquid shares, and reliable profits. It also warned that recent heavy selling meant the price had not yet proved a sustained rise.

The stock reached the target in 21 days. It later peaked at $57.98 on June 17, a gain of 24.8%. It ended the window at $56.53, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported first-quarter net income of $8.6 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.11.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.