Track record · closed signal

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) — closed signal from March 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 17, 2026 — +40.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

UNH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$276.83 – $288.69Entry zone — fair-value band

$285.13Published — price the day we called it

$323.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$414.16Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$399.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 33 days.

At window close

+40.1%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+45.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+12.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$399.53

last close inside the window, ended June 17, 2026

Peak price

$414.16

peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 19, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$323.20

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$276.83 – $288.69

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$285.13

published March 19, 2026

Confidence

77%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

UnitedHealth is being watched because it is not about fast growth right now but about proving it can stabilize profits. Recent focus is on charging fairer prices, cutting costs, using AI in care, and broader support services to help margins recover. In cautious markets this matters, but results must show up first, so treat it as a measured recovery idea rather than a sure bet.

Primary drivers

Plan to raise prices and cut costs to restore profits
Steady demand for healthcare makes revenue less volatile
Using AI and care programs to run operations better
Better investor sentiment could encourage a steadier stock move

How it played out

UNH: target reached in 33 days

Lyra published UNH at $285.13 with expected growth of 14%. The thesis pointed to higher prices and lower costs to restore profits, steady healthcare demand, better operations through artificial intelligence and care programs, and improved investor sentiment.

The stock reached the $323.20 target after 33 days. It later peaked at $414.16 on June 15, a gain of 45.3%. It ended the window at $399.53 on June 17, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 21, UnitedHealth Group reported first-quarter 2026 results and raised its full-year earnings outlook. On May 5, UnitedHealthcare announced that it was eliminating authorization requirements for 30% of services that had required insurer approval.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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