Track record · closed signal

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM) — closed signal from March 19, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 17, 2026 — -21.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$192.04 – $198.97Entry zone — fair-value band

$197.27Published — price the day we called it

$223.74Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$210.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$155.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 49% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-21.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+6.9%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+12.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$155.02

last close inside the window, ended June 17, 2026

Peak price

$210.80

peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published March 19, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$223.74

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$192.04 – $198.97

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$197.27

published March 19, 2026

Confidence

75%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce has a strong product story and recent news about Agentforce could boost real customer demand. The company keeps beating earnings and shows an improving trend, but the market is cautious right now so the stock can still be risky. It's attractive for disciplined investors who wait for reasonable entry points.

Primary drivers

Agentforce is turning AI interest into paying customers
Consistent earnings beats show operational strength
Large, still-important enterprise software business
Trend looks healthier here than many other software names

How it played out

CRM: rose 6.9%, but never reached the target

Lyra published CRM at $197.27 with expected growth of 14% and a $223.74 target. The thesis pointed to Agentforce turning artificial intelligence interest into paying customers, consistent earnings beats, the scale of the enterprise software business, and a healthier trend than many software names.

CRM reached its window peak of $210.80 on June 1, a gain of 6.9%. It stayed below the target throughout the window. By June 17, it had fallen to $155.02. The thesis partially played out during the rise, but the expected growth did not materialize and the signal ended as a miss.

What happened during the window

On May 27, Salesforce reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $11.1 billion, up 13% year over year. On June 15, the company announced an agreement to acquire Fin for about $3.6 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All CRM signals