Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from March 19, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 17, 2026 — +8.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$88.57 Published $104.51 Target $95.85 Window close $101.00 Peak
$86.00 – $90.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$88.57Published — price the day we called it
$104.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$101.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$95.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 78% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+8.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+12.6%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$95.85
last close inside the window, ended June 17, 2026
Peak price
$101.00
peak on April 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published March 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$104.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$86.00 – $90.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$88.57
published March 19, 2026
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Both analysts agree: the bank is running the business well but the stock has fallen more than it should. New details showing stronger sales and higher interest income make a rebound believable. This is a value-based recovery idea for the next quarter, but enter slowly because the wider market interest and clear trend improvement are still coming together.

Primary drivers

  • Sales and interest income are trending upward and support the story
  • Consistent earnings beats show the business is performing well
  • Shares fell recently, creating a cheap rebound opportunity
  • A strong balance sheet reduces regional bank risk

How it played out

SSB: the rebound fell short of the target

Lyra published a short-term recovery thesis from 88.57, with 18% expected growth and a 104.51 target. The thesis pointed to rising sales and interest income, consistent earnings beats, a recent share decline, and a strong balance sheet. It described the shares as cheap after the fall and called for a slow entry.

Inside the window, SSB rose to 101 on April 17, a 14% peak gain, but it never reached 104.51. It ended the window at 95.85, above the 88.57 publication price and below the target. The thesis partially played out: the rebound came, but the published objective did not.

What happened during the window

On April 23, 2026, SouthState reported first-quarter diluted earnings per share of $2.28, up 162% year over year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 6%.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.