Track record · closed signal

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH) — closed signal from March 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 16, 2026 — -4.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$75.36 – $78.32Entry zone — fair-value band

$77.67Published — price the day we called it

$84.02Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$84.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$73.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 20 days.

At window close

-4.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+9.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+13.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$73.98

last close inside the window, ended June 16, 2026

Peak price

$84.99

peak on April 7, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 18, 2026

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$84.02

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$75.36 – $78.32

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$77.67

published March 18, 2026

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Booz Allen is a steadier, less volatile company, but there isn't a strong short-term case to expect big gains. Recent news didn't directly change the company's situation, and sales are under pressure, so investors shouldn't assume an immediate re-rating. The price pattern looks OK but few buyers and softer sales mean it's not a buy-now for active traders.

Primary drivers

Works mainly with government and defense, which steadies revenue
Shares move less wildly than the market, helping in down periods
Has plenty of cash, so financial risk is lower
Sales are under pressure, reducing odds of a quick re-rating

How it played out

BAH: target reached in 20 days

Lyra published a cautious short-term thesis at $77.67 and expected 9% growth. The thesis pointed to government and defense work, lower share-price volatility, and ample cash as stabilizing factors. It also cited pressure on sales and limited odds of a quick re-rating.

The shares reached the $84.02 target in 20 days. They peaked at $84.99 on April 7, a 9.4% gain. By June 16, they had fallen to $73.98. The published target was reached within the window, so the thesis played out, although the gain did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On May 18, 2026, Booz Allen announced a partnership with Anduril covering mission software, cyber capabilities, and secure communications. On May 22, 2026, the company reported its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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