Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from March 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 16, 2026 — +20.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.31 Published $51.78 Target $56.84 Window close $57.07 Peak
$46.02 – $47.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.31Published — price the day we called it
$51.78Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$57.07Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$56.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 22 days.

At window close
+20.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+20.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+13.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$56.84
last close inside the window, ended June 16, 2026
Peak price
$57.07
peak on June 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
22

The thesis — published March 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$51.78
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.02 – $47.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.31
published March 18, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks cheap and could bounce, but there's no big company-specific news right now. Most attention is on the Federal Reserve decision and broad economic headlines, so the stock can swing with interest-rate news instead of moving because of its own business performance. That makes it riskier for a short-term trade.

Primary drivers

  • Big bank with steady revenue sources and diverse services
  • Price looks reasonable if interest rates behave
  • Shares are beaten down and may attract buyers when confidence returns
  • Overall moves are driven more by Fed and rate news than bank news

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 22 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for BAC at $47.31, expecting 10% growth. It saw the shares as reasonably priced and beaten down. The thesis pointed to diverse services, steady revenue sources, potential buying as confidence returned, and sensitivity to Federal Reserve and interest-rate news. It also noted the lack of major company-specific news.

BAC reached the $51.78 target in 22 days. It later peaked at $57.07 on June 16, a 20.6% gain, and ended the window at $56.84. The peak was above the target, and the closing price remained above it. The published thesis played out and was exceeded within the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, Bank of America reported first-quarter net income of $8.6 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.11.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals