Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from March 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$181.86 Published $203.68 Target $207.41 Window close $236.54 Peak
$177.00 – $184.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$181.86Published — price the day we called it
$203.68Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$207.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 36 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+30.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$207.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
36
Window
March 18, 2026 – June 16, 2026

The thesis — published March 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$203.68
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$177.00 – $184.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$181.86
published March 18, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is a very strong business, but right now the short-term balance of risk and reward is unclear. A big licensing deal shows continued demand for AI tasks, but questions about product power and efficiency could make the stock move a lot. Since the price has not dropped enough to remove near-term risk, it is wiser to wait for clearer stabilization before buying.

Primary drivers

  • Growing demand for AI computing drives sales
  • Large licensing deal expands platform adoption
  • Concerns about product power and efficiency raise volatility
  • High price means fewer mistakes are tolerated

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals