Track record · closed signal

Northwest Bancshares Inc (NWBI) — closed signal from March 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NWBI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.03 Published $13.47 Target $14.62 Window close $14.93 Peak
$11.60 – $12.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.03Published — price the day we called it
$13.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.62Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

Peak price
$14.93
peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.62
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
21
Window
March 18, 2026 – June 16, 2026

The thesis — published March 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$11.60 – $12.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.03
published March 18, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Northwest looks like a calmer bounce candidate over the next 0-3 months, not a fast-growth stock. Company insiders have been buying shares, which suggests they expect improvement. The bank trades cheaply versus peers and its finances are relatively solid. Thin trading means the price can jump, so we stay cautiously optimistic.

Primary drivers

  • Insiders buying shares shows management confidence and aligns interests with owners
  • Cheap valuation versus peers could allow a price rebound if sentiment improves
  • Stronger balance sheet than many small banks reduces downside risk
  • Lower volatility helps the stock hold up better during market swings

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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