Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from March 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 15, 2026 — +20.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$306.93 Published $328.42 Target $369.35 Window close $408.61 Peak
$300.00 – $309.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$306.93Published — price the day we called it
$328.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$408.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$369.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close
+20.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+33.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+12.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$369.35
last close inside the window, ended June 15, 2026
Peak price
$408.61
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
28

The thesis — published March 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+7%
over the measurement window
Target price
$328.42
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$300.00 – $309.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$306.93
published March 17, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

We are not saying Alphabet is weak. Instead, this share class is left out to avoid owning two stocks that represent the same business. Recent positive news about data-center parts supports the company, but that exposure is already covered by GOOG. For the next few months, holding one class is simpler and clearer for the portfolio.

Primary drivers

  • Alphabet's main businesses (search, ads, cloud) remain strong
  • New infrastructure updates help the company's AI expansion
  • Holding both share classes gives redundant exposure
  • GOOG lets you own the business without the duplication

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $306.93 with an expected gain of 7% over the short-term window. The thesis pointed to strength in search, advertising, and cloud, plus infrastructure updates for artificial intelligence expansion. It also argued that holding both Alphabet share classes created redundant exposure and favored GOOG for the portfolio.

GOOGL reached the $328.42 target in 28 days. It later peaked at $408.61 on May 18, a 33.1% gain, and ended the window at $369.35. The price cleared the target and remained above it at the end. The published price thesis played out and exceeded its stated objective.

What happened during the window

On April 29, 2026, Alphabet reported first-quarter revenue of $109.9 billion, up 22%, and Google Cloud revenue of $20.0 billion, up 63%. On April 27, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share, a 5% increase.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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